The latest housing market trends show pending home sales improving while supply tightens nationwide. In this article, I’ll break down what the newest data means for buyers and sellers, why inventory is shifting, and what to watch as the market moves deeper into 2026.
Is the Housing Market Getting Better in 2026?
Yes. Pending home sales are now up 6.4% year over year, marking three straight weeks of stronger activity. Mortgage rates near 6.4% are helping buyers re-enter the market after a difficult stretch last year.
In many Silicon Valley neighborhoods, I’m seeing the same trend:
- Well-priced homes are moving faster
- Buyers are becoming more confident
- Central locations continue attracting the most demand
This is still a rate-sensitive market, but momentum has clearly improved compared to early 2025. The improvement is showing up nationally as well. Reuters recently reported that existing U.S. home sales rose to an annual pace of 4.02 million units in April, even as affordability challenges continued across the country.
Pro Tip
If you’re planning to buy this year, focus on long-term affordability and lifestyle fit rather than waiting for the “perfect” rate.
Why Are Homes Still Sitting on the Market in 2026?
While demand is improving, pricing pressure still exists. About 36% of listings have taken a price cut, and many sellers are choosing to withdraw homes instead of lowering prices further.
Inventory growth has slowed dramatically, with national supply only 1% higher than last year compared to nearly 30% growth a year ago. HousingWire also reported that inventory growth cooled sharply in early 2026, signaling a market slowly moving back toward balance. In Silicon Valley, well-priced and well-presented homes are still attracting attention, while overpriced listings are sitting longer as buyers remain selective.
Will Home Prices Go Up or Down in 2026?
It depends on whether buyer demand continues through the second half of the year.
Right now, median price per square foot is still down 2.5% year over year. But lower mortgage rates, slowing inventory growth, and improving buyer activity are creating a more stable environment. Some areas are already seeing tighter inventory and stronger competition again, especially markets tied closely to tech and employment growth. The market hasn’t fully turned yet, but the data is showing early signs of a healthier balance between buyers and sellers as we move deeper into 2026.
A More Balanced Housing Market May Finally Be Taking Shape
The housing market is showing early signs of improvement, but it’s still moving through a careful transition. Buyer activity is picking up, inventory growth is slowing, and some markets are beginning to stabilize again. While pricing pressure hasn’t fully disappeared, the overall data points to a more balanced market taking shape as we move deeper into 2026.
If you’re thinking about buying or selling in Silicon Valley, having the right strategy matters more than ever. I’d be happy to help you understand what’s happening in your local market and what these shifts could mean for your next move.
